Winter session: Mamata can't bring down UPA, says Sardesai

Brace for a stormy Winter Session of Parliament. That's the message from Mamata Banerjee to the central government. The Trinamool Congress plans to move a no-confidence motion against the government on the first day of the Winter Session. CNN-IBN's editor-in-chief Rajdeep Sardesai analyses the entire situation for CNBC-TV18 -- Mamata Banerjee's threat, the support from the Left and the strategy that will be adopted by the SP and the BJP who are still holding their cards close to their chest.

Below is the edited transcript of his interview

Q: The Left has said that they will support the no confidence motion. The SP and the BJP are still holding their cards close to their chest. Do you believe that, Mamata Banerjee can bring this government down?

A: I think Mamata Banerjee cannot bring this government down in this winter session of parliament. She can embarrass the government by joining hands with the BJP, the Left and some other parties, in insisting that there be a debate and a vote on FDI in retail under Section 184. That's the limit of what she can do at the moment. On the vote of confidence, I don't think any of the critical allies of this government, who are supporting it from the outside particularly the BSP and the SP, are in a mood to bring down this government in this session itself. There is ofcourse the one-upmanship between Mamata and the left.

If Mamata moves a vote of no-confidence, will the Left support it? There is a question mark over that as well. So, Mamata needs to create the impression that she is the one who is driving the opposition agenda against the government. Also that she is the one who has the potential to bring down the government. However, the facts and the numbers at the moment work against here when it comes to vote of no confidence. Certainly when it comes to a resolution under Section 184 on FDI in retail, Mamata can join hands with a variety of parties. She can cause severe embarrassment to the government in parliament.

More to come....

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