In eastern part of India comprising of West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, Assam and Odisha where the BJP is not very strong, it is the regional parties who are doing very well. It is only in Jharkhand where the BJP is expected to emerge at the top according to CNN-IBN-CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey.
Also Read: Post-poll survey: Congress leads in Karnataka, Kerala
West Bengal
Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee led Trinamool Congress is clearly ahead of all others in the fray in the battle ground state of West Bengal. According to post-poll survey the TMC is expected to get 38 percent vote share and win 25-31 seats.
The opposition Left Front is expected to get 24 percent votes and win 7-11 seats. Surprisingly, the BJP is likely to get third position by getting 15 percent of votes and 1-3 seats. The Congress may get 13 percent votes and 2-4 seats.
The others are expected to get 10 percent votes. In 2009, TMC won 19 Lok Sabha seats in West Bengal.
Disclaimer: These are provisional figures as 17 seats of Bengal have voted today
Odisha
The ruling BJD is likely to retain its number one position in the state once again. According to post-poll survey, the BJD is expected to get 12-16 seats with 37 percent vote share. The BJP is projected to get 3-7 seats with 29 percent vote share and the main opposition Congress is expected to get 1-3 seats with 24 percent vote share. Interestingly, the Congress has been pushed to third place by the BJP.
The sample size for Odisha is 805 respondents and the post-poll was conducted in 14 of the total 21 Lok Sabha seats.
Jharkhand
In Jharkhand, the BJP is likely to register a huge victory. According to post-poll survey, the BJP may get 44 percent vote share. The ruling JMM-Congress-RJD alliance may get just 21 percent vote share. Babu Lal Marandi's JVM-P may get 11 percent votes. The others expected to get 24 percent votes.
In 2009, the Congress-JMM alliance was slightly ahead of the BJP. The sample size for Jharkhand is 1102 respondents and the survey was conducted in 11 of the total 14 Lok Sabha seats in the state.
Assam
Assam is one of the very few states where the ruling Congress is comfortably ahead of the BJP and other opposition parties. According to post-poll survey, the Congress may get 40 percent vote share. The BJP may get 22 percent vote share. The AGP and AIUDF are expected to get 13 and 11 percent of the votes respectively. Others may get remaining 14 percent votes.
In 2009, the Congress polled 38.7 percent votes and the BJP got just 16.2 percent votes.
The sample size for Assam is 716 respondents and the post poll was conducted in 11 Lok Sabha seats. Assam has 14 Lok Sabha seats.
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